The Parable
In a faraway land there existed the Kingdom of Social Justice. The kingdom had a tumultuous history. But, progress towards equality was a hallmark of which the kingdom rightfully took pride. Just like a grandfather clock, each kingdom has a pendulum of political will. It swings left and then it swings right and then it swings left again. And so on. Some kingdoms are wound tighter than others. Which is why pendulums in differing kingdoms rarely keep time with each other for long. This story takes place when the kingdom's pendulum had passed the 7 and was approaching the 8.
The ministers of the Kingdom of Social Justice enjoyed attending conferences. They enjoyed the camaraderie of each other's company, and the meals, and the outings, and the many people who gathered and told them how important they were and how much they were loved. Many of the conferences the ministers attended were sponsored and hosted by a very wealthy social engineer from another kingdom. The social engineer lavished money and resources for all attendees of the conferences. But, the social engineer never allowed his own name to be attached to a conference. Instead, the social engineer sought others to take credit for the conferences. And many others did take credit. They were happy to have their projects supported by a wealthy social engineer from another kingdom.
In a neighboring kingdom, a man worked for an employer. The man, like most of the subjects of the Kingdom of Social Justice believed that employers are wealthy and workers are poor. One day, the man climbed a ladder to perform a part of the job for which the man was employed. While on the ladder, the man suffered a heart attack, and fell from the ladder. Later, the man died.
News of the man's death reached the conference organizers in the Kingdom of Social Justice and they were sad. They were saddened not only because of the loss and pain the man's family must have felt, but because the man was poor (he had to have been because he worked) and he suffered his ailment while on a ladder. They felt the burn of injustice that a poor man may be required to climb a ladder from which a fall might occur.
Some time later, news reached the conference organizers that another person in a different kingdom was injured in a fall from a ladder. The injured person was stretching to reach something and his leaning body weight caused the ladder to slip from position. Again, the organizers were sad and unrest began to grow.
Sometime after the second ladder incident, news reached the organizers of yet another tragedy involving a ladder. This time, a woman used a ladder to climb from a third story rooftop to a 6th story adjacent rooftop. While atop the taller building, she jumped to her death leaving behind a suicide note. The organizers were awash with grief and anger.
At the next conference, attendees demanded that the ministers solve the problem of death and injury caused by ladders. As the attendees discussed the recently reported tragedies they described the problem as one of injustice and one that must be fixed—now. The good ministers agreed with the attendees and promised to draft legislation that would permanently correct this unjust situation.
The ministers were not experts in the use of ladders and did not know how to eliminate falls from ladders. The wealthy social engineer from a foreign kingdom helped the ministers find a solution. The social engineer introduced the ministers to professors and recent graduates of the University of Scaffolding Science and Technology. The social engineer knew about the university because it was one of the many projects he had contributed funds to for many years.
The ministers consulted with academics from the University of Scaffolding Science and Technology. But the academics said that they couldn't help find a solution unless they could do in-depth research—the kind of research that could only be produced under a consulting contract. The ministers agreed and awarded numerous and lucrative consulting contracts to the academics who now became consultants.
Finally, after many years, many contracts, and millions of zorbs (the kingdom's currency) were paid to the consultants, they presented a recommendation—eliminate all ladders from use. Instead, create new Departments of Scaffolding in each county of the kingdom.
The departments will investigate every situation where required work can't be performed from the ground. In conducting its duties, the departments will determine (1) if elevation from the ground is required; (2) if so, then prescribe the dimensions of scaffolding to be placed; and (3) recommend additional safety features, such as railing, extra wide platforms, or whether a harness should be required to be worn by employees on the scaffolding.
The consultants further recommended that departments of scaffolding's findings should be presented to the county or city planning commission. It will be the planning commission's job to order such recommendations to occur on the job site. Once the order is made, the department of scaffolding will construct the scaffolding and monitor its use.
In the event that a planning commission disagreed with the department of scaffolding, it may only order the use of a ladder if done so on the record, articulating the specific reasons why the recommendation is to be ignored.
A particularly astute minister asked, "wouldn't such a system be very expensive"? The consultants scoffed and demanded that the minister inquire as to what the cost to society is when a worker falls from a ladder and injures himself, or worse. "Isn't that worth more than counting mere zorbs?" they ask. Besides, they assert, "ladder sellers should not be allowed to grow rich from exploiting the poor who are forced to climb ladders."
The minister pressed, "But won't completion time for projects be significantly delayed by this system?" The consultants retorted, "Sure, some projects might experience an initial delay, but there will be huge efficiency savings by not having to climb up and down ladders only to move them."
Two ministers were so enthused that they introduced bills in both houses of their bicameral legislative system.
And the pendulum continues to swing.
Epilogue
Might this parable be far-fetched? I think not.
Currently pending in the California Legislature are two bills that seek to eliminate the ability of an arrestee from posting bail (SB 10 and AB 42). In it's place, each county will be required to create a pretrial department that will interview every arrested person and recommend the level of monitoring. Two days later, the judge will receive the recommendations and order the conditions she feels is appropriate. If the judge disagrees with the recommendations, then she must state so on the record and the specific reasons why. The defendant may not be charged any fees for monitoring or any conditions imposed. If the defendant is accused of a violent crime, in some cases, even a misdemeanor, the defendant is not to be reviewed for release recommendations.
There's a lot more to the bills, but for now, what matters is that it will cost California about $3 billion per year more than what the current system costs. And, a large number of defendants will not be eligible for release—even before conviction. How does that further the rights of an accused under the presumption of innocence doctrine?
An Accidental Alchemist
Life long learner sharing ideas, observations, and occasional opinions
Thursday, May 11, 2017
Friday, April 29, 2016
There Goes the Neighborhood
I'm losing one of my best employees to the lure of a competitor. Not a competing bail agency, but to a competing town. Yes, that's right, I've been beat out by a city — Sacramento. Not Sacramento, as in center-of-California-politics-and-public-policy Sacramento. But Sacramento, as in there's-plenty-of-homes-for-first-time-home-buyers Sacramento.
I'm sad. Eric came to work for me five years ago. He's good. Real good. He cares. He treats the business as his own. He's honest. He works hard. He's smart. He will be missed.
I'm also sad as a Santa Rosan. For Santa Rosa is losing a bright and energetic mind along with his wife and step-daughter. Better weather, better views, better food, and two good jobs were not enough to keep Eric and his family in Santa Rosa.
As long as young families feel that the American dream of home ownership is hopelessly out of reach in Santa Rosa, there will be many more stories like Eric's. An economist might call it a sustained leakage of labor. Santa Rosans might experience it as the transportation of talent to places far and wide. In Eric's case, it's an example of future leader flight.
Much has been discussed at City Hall lately about rent control. That without it, we will lose the workforce that drives a service economy. But controlling rents does not keep Eric and his family in Santa Rosa. The only way the Eric's of Santa Rosa continue to provide Santa Rosa with the benefits of their skills, talents, and efforts is more housing inventory. Some for rent, some for sale.
Instead of creating artificial conditions that focus on one aspect of the housing shortage, let's focus on fixing the fundamental causes. Let's make it easier for builders to build, which will make it easier for buyers to buy and renters to rent.
I'm sad. Eric came to work for me five years ago. He's good. Real good. He cares. He treats the business as his own. He's honest. He works hard. He's smart. He will be missed.
I'm also sad as a Santa Rosan. For Santa Rosa is losing a bright and energetic mind along with his wife and step-daughter. Better weather, better views, better food, and two good jobs were not enough to keep Eric and his family in Santa Rosa.
As long as young families feel that the American dream of home ownership is hopelessly out of reach in Santa Rosa, there will be many more stories like Eric's. An economist might call it a sustained leakage of labor. Santa Rosans might experience it as the transportation of talent to places far and wide. In Eric's case, it's an example of future leader flight.
Much has been discussed at City Hall lately about rent control. That without it, we will lose the workforce that drives a service economy. But controlling rents does not keep Eric and his family in Santa Rosa. The only way the Eric's of Santa Rosa continue to provide Santa Rosa with the benefits of their skills, talents, and efforts is more housing inventory. Some for rent, some for sale.
Instead of creating artificial conditions that focus on one aspect of the housing shortage, let's focus on fixing the fundamental causes. Let's make it easier for builders to build, which will make it easier for buyers to buy and renters to rent.
Monday, April 25, 2016
Business Lessons Lost in New Era?
My first business mentor, Bill Trussler, passed on a lesson
he learned from his mentor – raise prices immediately when costs increase. The
reason: customers will tolerate slight upward price adjustments. The novice
merchant may try to hold on to increases, waiting for the competition to raise
their prices in hopes of picking up customers looking for a bargain. Or, at the
very least, trying to avoid customers wandering over to a competitor offering a
lower price.
But, the lesson goes, if you wait until the increased costs
erode all profit and force a price increase just to stay in business, the
customer experiences shock - an increase so dramatic that she is likely to be
become outraged, to feel betrayed. Once a customer feels betrayed they will no longer
be your customer.
This time-tested wisdom passed down from merchant to merchant does not seem to hold in Seattle according to the results of a study undertaken by the University of Washington. In 2014, the city of Seattle passed a minimum wage law that was to begin to take effect in 2015. Wisely, in the wake of such a mandate, the city council commissioned a periodic check of the city’s vitals to be conducted by the University. The first study, done at the inception of the new law found that 62% of merchants expected prices and rents to rise because of the law. The second study, just completed, and done one year later found that prices and rents have not changed.
The first study revealed that 10% of merchants questioned wrongly believed that the jump to $15 per hour was to be immediate. In fact, the law set two standards, one by which companies employing more than 500 people were to follow, and another, slower paced standard for companies with less than 500 employees. Minimum wages are to be incrementally increased for the first set to $15 per hour in three years. Smaller employers are required to incrementally increase wages until 2021 when they will be $15 per hour. This means a minimum wage earner’s income would rise somewhere between 8% and 12% per year. California’s new minimum wage law has similar incremental increases over time.
It seems like Seattle merchants have forgotten Trussler’s rule of passing on increases as they accrue.
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Three R’s and the CCP: Recidivism; Retirement; and Replacement
There was a time when the retirement of a police chief
affected, primarily, the department losing the chief and the one from which the
replacement came. I imagine management
and staff experience mixed emotions: sadness watching their leader step down;
anticipation of who the new leader will be; excitement over the upward
potential of their own careers. Like a
game of Tetris – the blocks line up differently, pushing some towards the
top.
There seems to be some disadvantage for a municipal representative in the governing of county-wide funds and policies. The ratio of county-to-city representatives is 6-to-1 in favor of the county. Cities don’t generally receive funding from a county, though policies implemented by the CCP have a tremendous impact on the cities. County department heads speak a budget language foreign to most. Considerations and procedures follow a different law or custom from a city police department. Normally, a city police chief would not be dialed into county politics. A municipal representative might feel like baseball player thrust into a cricket match.
Not so, with Chief Schwedhelm, his has been the loudest voice demanding a definition of “recidivism.” The Chief knows that the only way to accurately measure Realignment’s effects is to have a clear, concise and stable meaning of the word. A criminal justice consultant under contract with the county has been tasked with helping the CCP reach a consensus definition. But such consensus remains elusive.
The leading approach is to loosely define the term while tracking all of the variables. The variables are many and include: offender status – whether the offender is a felon or misdemeanant; offense type triggering the recidivist label – whether the new offense is a felony, a misdemeanor, or a violation of probation; if the new offense is a violation of probation – was it is a technical violation (meaning missing an appointment, or testing dirty); time frame of the new offense from the initial offense – 1 year, 2 years, 3 years; should new offenses only be considered if they occurred during the probation period; or should they be counted if they happened at all - any time after the initial offense?
Tracking all of the variables seems to be prudent. But, just as the home-plate umpire should not be the pitcher’s mom , a government body, which receives state money based on how low their reported recidivism rate is, should not be free to massage the numbers into the shape most favorable.
The chief deserves to enjoy his retirement. He has done an exemplary job for his city. He was hired from within; a rarity in police departments that I hope is repeated. He enjoys the respect and appreciation of his officers, as well as the community he’s served. Chief Schwedhelm has also done a great job on the CCP.
Thank you, Chief for your service to Santa Rosa and your leadership on Sonoma County’s CCP. May your replacement as chief serve us half as well, and may your replacement on the CCP continue the push for accountability.
One of the effects of California’s prison realignment is the
creation of the executive committee of the Community Corrections
Partnership. This is the body that
manages realignment money and decides the policies for the county’s criminal
justice system. The meetings are public and I participate,
usually, by quietly taking notes, often times in agreement, other times
not. The environment is collegial, and,
I, as well as others, am afforded the opportunity to comment or express an
opinion.
AB 109 was very specific about who can make up the executive
committee of the CCP. Of the CCP’s seven
members, only one represents the interests of the cities. By statute, the Board of Supervisors must
pick a police chief from one of the cities in their county to sit on the
CCP. Sonoma County’s first and only municipal
representative is Santa Rosa’s Chief of Police, Tom Schwedhelm. On December 20, 2013, he is retiring. There seems to be some disadvantage for a municipal representative in the governing of county-wide funds and policies. The ratio of county-to-city representatives is 6-to-1 in favor of the county. Cities don’t generally receive funding from a county, though policies implemented by the CCP have a tremendous impact on the cities. County department heads speak a budget language foreign to most. Considerations and procedures follow a different law or custom from a city police department. Normally, a city police chief would not be dialed into county politics. A municipal representative might feel like baseball player thrust into a cricket match.
Not so, with Chief Schwedhelm, his has been the loudest voice demanding a definition of “recidivism.” The Chief knows that the only way to accurately measure Realignment’s effects is to have a clear, concise and stable meaning of the word. A criminal justice consultant under contract with the county has been tasked with helping the CCP reach a consensus definition. But such consensus remains elusive.
The leading approach is to loosely define the term while tracking all of the variables. The variables are many and include: offender status – whether the offender is a felon or misdemeanant; offense type triggering the recidivist label – whether the new offense is a felony, a misdemeanor, or a violation of probation; if the new offense is a violation of probation – was it is a technical violation (meaning missing an appointment, or testing dirty); time frame of the new offense from the initial offense – 1 year, 2 years, 3 years; should new offenses only be considered if they occurred during the probation period; or should they be counted if they happened at all - any time after the initial offense?
Tracking all of the variables seems to be prudent. But, just as the home-plate umpire should not be the pitcher’s mom , a government body, which receives state money based on how low their reported recidivism rate is, should not be free to massage the numbers into the shape most favorable.
The chief deserves to enjoy his retirement. He has done an exemplary job for his city. He was hired from within; a rarity in police departments that I hope is repeated. He enjoys the respect and appreciation of his officers, as well as the community he’s served. Chief Schwedhelm has also done a great job on the CCP.
Thank you, Chief for your service to Santa Rosa and your leadership on Sonoma County’s CCP. May your replacement as chief serve us half as well, and may your replacement on the CCP continue the push for accountability.
Thursday, October 3, 2013
Drivers Licenses for Undocumented Aliens
The law bobs
and weaves like an aging boxer.
Currently, if a citizen of Mexico bails out of a California jail on
criminal charges then absconds to Mexico, there is a legal protocol for the
bail agent to return the defendant to local custody. It’s not an easy process, but the process
exists. That was not the case several
years ago, so a bail agent had to factor the additional risk posed by bailing out
a citizen of Mexico.
Over the
years I have bailed hundreds of people whose only charge was driving without a
license. The bails were relatively
small, usually between $1,000 and $2,500, which would cost the client $100 to
$250.
There’s not
much of a defense to mount for driving without a license – either you were
issued a license or you weren’t. If you were not issued a license, you pay a
fine. If you’re a multiple offender, you
go to jail – for 6 months. Additionally,
from the mid ‘90’s into the early 2010’s, the defendant’s vehicle was usually confiscated.
Some clients
I bail choose not to go to court - even for a relatively minor offense as
driving without a license. In many of those cases, my investigation would turn
up reports from the defendant’s “people” that he went to Mexico. No doubt some of those reports were true. But, I suspect, then and now, that many
simply moved on to other areas within the state, found work and bought another
car.
It’s
frustrating to be “gun shy” about posting a small bond on an offense that
should be low risk only because the defendant is from another country. But the arrests continued to be made and the calls
kept coming. In some, I could hear fear
in their voice; my jaundiced ear figured those to be the virgins. In others, I could hear resignation, they
were the experienced ones.
The method I
used to limit losses occurring from a defendant absconding to Mexico, or
elsewhere, worked exceedingly well, was simple, and cost nothing. I discovered it one night when I was driving
a client home from the jail. I learned
that this was the defendant’s fourth arrest for driving without a license. The three prior times were in Napa County. He was already sentenced and had a turn-in
date to serve six months in the Napa County jail.
All my
bondsman’s instincts were telling me this guy was going to skip. But I liked him. He was a young, hard-working man, and he was
honest. Though it was within my right to
return the premium he’d paid and take him back to jail, instead, I turned to
him and said, “This is an expensive inconvenience for you. You knew what the risks were when you bought
your car. You probably knew what the risks were when you decided to come here
for work. I’ve put up money to get you
out of jail. I’ve bet on you. I stake my money and my honor on you. I do so because I believe you are an honorable
man that will live up to the promise I’ve made on your behalf. As a man of honor, tell me now if I was
wrong.”
He looked
into my eyes and told me that I was right to trust him and that he appreciated what
I had done. He made every one of his
court appearances and served his 6 months.
Not every person I bail is a “man of honor”. But, every Mexican national that I’ve bailed
for driving without a license, when I’ve posed the issue in that way, have
proven that they are men and women of honor.
Today,
Governor Brown signed AB60 into law that allows undocumented aliens to obtain a
California driver’s license. It has been a long time coming, like the bell for that aged boxer trying to avoid his opponent's glove. As long as a
person is of appropriate age, passes the driver’s test, acquires liability
insurance, and shows competency in understanding traffic signs and laws, what
possible reason could there be to deny that person a license?
It delights
me that these men and women of honor will now be able to drive to work and
their children’s schools, safely, fully insured, and without fear of being
arrested on the road because of their status.
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Gang of Five - Where Are They Now?
Gang of Five
I heard about California’s Gang of Five when I attended my first bail agent’s convention. The year was 1988, the meeting was held in Monterey, and I had only recently decided to become a bail agent. The keynote speaker was Rusty Areias, the best looking of the Gang of Five. The attendees enthusiastically received Rusty as he took the podium. When he regaled us with tales of epic battles against Willie Brown, then Speaker of the Assembly, fantastic images of dragons and dragon slayers floated through my mind. As a young republican I had heard my share of horror stories about Willie Brown.
I heard about California’s Gang of Five when I attended my first bail agent’s convention. The year was 1988, the meeting was held in Monterey, and I had only recently decided to become a bail agent. The keynote speaker was Rusty Areias, the best looking of the Gang of Five. The attendees enthusiastically received Rusty as he took the podium. When he regaled us with tales of epic battles against Willie Brown, then Speaker of the Assembly, fantastic images of dragons and dragon slayers floated through my mind. As a young republican I had heard my share of horror stories about Willie Brown.
In 1987 and ‘88
Democrats held 44 seats in the Assembly, while the Republicans held 36. The Gang of Five voted as a block, sometimes
against the direction of the Speaker.
They were punished for their disloyalty, committee assignments stripped,
staff reassigned, office space shrunk, parking privileges cancelled. The Speaker tried to crush their will, but
the Gang held tight. Republican sponsored
legislation continued to move, but Democrat sponsored bills were halted for
fear that the Gang would cross the aisle and defeat those they had issue with. In the Speaker’s words, “perception of power
is reality”, and he did not want it to appear that he lacked power.
I was 22
years old, with a mortgage, a wife, a new-born, and a management job in my
in-law’s small chain of paint stores. If
I was a bigger man (by that I mean more mature, less sensitive, and educated) I
don’t think I would have felt so stifled. But, I wanted to blaze my own trail, make my
own mark, take the rewards, and taste the briny-sweet flavor of victory seasoned
with risk. Thank God the young are so naïve. Rusty Areias and The Gang of Five
represented exactly what I craved.
I saw Rusty’s
name on a Twitter feed the other day. The
FPPC levied a fine against him and others for engaging in “shadow lobbying”. Shadow lobbying is seeking to garner support
for a client’s cause or position without being a registered lobbyist. I’m sure I’ve over simplified the issue. It
seems to be a very fine line. I started thinking about the Gang of Five and wondered
what they were up to.
Areias served
as chair of the Coastal Commission. Later, he was
Director of the State Department of Parks and Recreation under the Gray Davis administration,
serving from 1999 to 2002. Last year we learned that the State Parks
Commission had been maintaining a secret fund for 12 years. The official findings are that the fund’s existence
was unknown to State Parks directors, including Areias. The same findings also
show the fund grew most from 1998 to 2003.
The best known Gang of Five member was Gary Condit. After a scandal that unseated Democratic Majority Whip,
Tony Coelho, Condit won a special election to Congress. Unfortunately, Condit, is known more for his
relationship with Chandra Levy, than for his government service. We know not what tomorrow brings so, make the
most and best of today.
Jerry Eaves left
the Assembly in 1992. He served as a
San Bernardino County Supervisor for 2 terms, his final term marked with
scandal. It was alleged that he received
gifts from entities that had business before the Board then voted on their
matters. Charges brought in Federal court were dismissed with an admonishment to the prosecutor for being overly zealous. Eaves entered a plea of no-contest
to 7 reduced counts. There is a fine
soccer complex that bears his name.
Charles Calderon was the recognized leader of the Gang of Five. He currently sits in
the Assembly. His son, Ian, is an Assembly member in the neighboring district. Calderon was the first Latino Assembly
majority leader. He ran for Attorney
General but lost to Bill Lockyer. Two
brothers, Ron and Thomas, both serve in the Senate. Ron has his own legal
problems. The FBI raided his Senate
office early this summer and the case is pending. A man stands apart from his brother. Anyone that has siblings understands the
import of that observation.
Steve Peace is an advisor to the San Diego Padres. He is also the architect of California’s Top Two Primary system. For that reason alone, he is one of my heroes. Peace was also the writer and producer of the “Attack of the Killer Tomatoes” movie franchise. There were three Killer Tomatoes movies. Perhaps calling it a franchise is generous, but he is my hero, and heroes receive much benefit.
Incidentally, I have since met Willie Brown. He was the guest of honor and entertainment at a salon dinner at Ramekins Cooking School in Sonoma. Ramekins is owned by Sacramento power broker, Darius Anderson. The menu was selected by Willie (it's uncomfortable calling him Mr. Brown). During each course Willie related the food to his story. It was a fascinating experience with exquisite food, interesting people, and, of course, Willie.
I'm sad that so many members of the Gang of Five have been marked by scandal. Not because I feel let down by their supposed failings. Rather, because I too have failings and sometimes have been forced to eat only from the bitter bowl of brine. In those moments, it helps to remember that this too shall pass.
Steve Peace is an advisor to the San Diego Padres. He is also the architect of California’s Top Two Primary system. For that reason alone, he is one of my heroes. Peace was also the writer and producer of the “Attack of the Killer Tomatoes” movie franchise. There were three Killer Tomatoes movies. Perhaps calling it a franchise is generous, but he is my hero, and heroes receive much benefit.
Incidentally, I have since met Willie Brown. He was the guest of honor and entertainment at a salon dinner at Ramekins Cooking School in Sonoma. Ramekins is owned by Sacramento power broker, Darius Anderson. The menu was selected by Willie (it's uncomfortable calling him Mr. Brown). During each course Willie related the food to his story. It was a fascinating experience with exquisite food, interesting people, and, of course, Willie.
I'm sad that so many members of the Gang of Five have been marked by scandal. Not because I feel let down by their supposed failings. Rather, because I too have failings and sometimes have been forced to eat only from the bitter bowl of brine. In those moments, it helps to remember that this too shall pass.
Wednesday, September 4, 2013
If Obama Was a Bail Agent
If Obama was
a bail bondsman, would he attack Syria?
A few years
ago, I bailed a man for the petty offense of public intoxication. Usually, I get cosigners before I post a
bond, but this time I did not. He persuaded
me that he was an otherwise responsible person. And, this being the age of cell
phones that dial by name rather than number, he could not remember any of his
friends’ or family member’s phone numbers.
The bond
amount was small, only $1,000. The premium
he had to pay was $100. He lived in the
neighboring county and he promised he would call in a credit card number to
cover the fee once he got home. More
often than many would think, I have bonded people out under similar
circumstances, I’m rarely stiffed. But,
I’m a bail bondsman and over the years I’ve developed a sense of when to bend
the rules of underwriting and when to hold firm.
This would
not be much of a story if the man did as he said he would do. He did not call me with a credit card number,
nor did he send a check, a thank you note, or a bottle of wine. He failed to appear in court, and, as is
customary, the court notified me that I had 180 days to produce the body, or
pay the $1,000 bond. The court does not use the word “body”, but I like the
sound of it. It conjures up a spirit of
days past and people that hear me say it instantly understand that it’s no
joke.
When things
like this happen, I turn to the same bail investigator I’ve used for 13 years. Steve, using methods he prefers to keep to
himself, tracked the absconded client to a little town near Olympia,
Washington. From his office, Steve
called the man. He was surprised to hear
from us and declined our request for him to return to Sonoma County. He also, declined our request to pay the bond.
Before hanging up, he said something like, “Go to hell. What are you going to do, come here and get
me?”
It costs a
lot of money to pay two men to drive in a full-size SUV 1,500 miles, stake out
a house, and arrest the fugitive when they find him. I’m a good boss, and feel like
the people I hire should be able to eat meals and sleep in a motel when they are
performing an extended service like this. Two days later, when Steve and his partner
knocked on the man’s door, he was surprised.
He expressed his surprise all the way back to Sonoma County.
Contrary to
what many believe, the criminal mind assesses likely responses before it
acts. This is not true for every
criminal, but it is true often enough that I count on it. This man decided that it didn’t make sense
for me to spend all that time, money, and energy to bring him back for such a
small bond. He figured he was out of my
reach, and that the phone call to him was merely to express empty words. If my
business was a publicly-traded corporation, where executives answer to a board
of directors, and the board answers to shareholders, he may have been right. A corporate board has a tendency to seek the quickest profit, or the least
expense. But, my business is not publicly
traded, it’s closely held by one shareholder, me. I can afford to take the long
view.
In his
assessment, the man overlooked the value of his story. When he was booked into the Sonoma County
jail, he couldn’t help but tell everyone he encountered, how that crazy guy at
Romelli Bail Bonds chased him all the way to Washington for a mere $1,000. For the rest of that year and into the next, not
one person that I bailed out of that jail skipped court.
If Obama was
a bail bondsman, he would take military action against Syria. He would weigh the costs, the risks, the
rewards, and then he’d act. He’d know
that the world is watching. He would not
risk the outcome on the deliberations of 435 people that answer directly to
their own form of shareholders, voters. He would know that other regimes will
be emboldened if he doesn’t act. He
would know that there are significantly less costs, however one measures them,
dissuading others from engaging in the use of weapons of mass destruction than
ignoring them when they do. He would know
the cost of empty warnings outpaces the cost of backing those warnings up with appropriate
action.
I believe
congress will approve military action against Syria, but it will be by a slim
margin, and that is enough to cast doubt in the minds of other regimes that our
warnings lack strength. If Obama was a
bail bondsman, he’d understand that the criminal mind tends toward exploiting
weakness and avoids challenging the strong.
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